Investing is about managing risk.
When my father was playing the stock market, he bought
AT&T and GE. When I started my career, everyone bought IBM, DEC, and HP.
Then the hot companies became Apple and Microsoft. And now it is Facebook,
Amazon, Netflix, and Google. In hindsight, had I bought these stocks earlier, I
would now be a wealthy old guy. My point being that it is damn hard to know
which small stocks today will become tomorrow’s dominant players.
With a diversified portfolio one can buy and hold 10-20
stocks and hope that a few turn out to be big winners. And the math is in your
favor. The worst a stock can do is a total loss of 100%. However, the best a
stock can do is infinite! It can gain 200%, 500% or even 1000% over the
long-run. You must be patient to get a few big winners which will more than
offset your losers.
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